Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Getafe
VS
Brighton
Getafe win
6%
Draw
14%
Brighton win
80%
Expected goals
0.6 – 2.7
Expected shots
6 – 25
Match analysis
Brighton dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for Getafe. Brighton frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 60% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).