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France vs Türkiye prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

France
VS
Türkiye
France win
79%
Draw
14%
Türkiye win
7%
Expected goals
2.9 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 10

Match analysis

France dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for Türkiye. France frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 60% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:56 (UK time).

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