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Finland vs San Marino prediction

Nations League · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Finland
VS
San Marino
Finland win
88%
Draw
9%
San Marino win
3%
Expected goals
3.3 – 0.5
Expected shots
25 – 6

Match analysis

Finland dominates this matchup: 88% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 3% for San Marino. Finland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 69% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:56 (UK time).

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