Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
FC Midtjylland
VS
Ajax
FC Midtjylland win
28%
Draw
23%
Ajax win
49%
Expected goals
1.6 – 2.1
Expected shots
10 – 16
Match analysis
Ajax holds a real edge (49% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (23%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:04 (UK time).