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FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

FC Lugano
VS
Kauno Žalgiris
FC Lugano win
76%
Draw
14%
Kauno Žalgiris win
10%
Expected goals
3.0 – 1.0
Expected shots
20 – 8

Match analysis

FC Lugano dominates this matchup: 76% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for Kauno Žalgiris. FC Lugano frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 59% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).

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