Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Final score: Everton 1 – 0 Ipswich
The outcome rated most likely (a Everton win, 34%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Everton
VS
Ipswich
Everton win
34%
Draw
32%
Ipswich win
34%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Expected shots
20 – 10
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 14:23 (UK time).