La Liga · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Espanyol 1 – 3 Elche
The model gave a Elche win only 16%. At 16%, an outcome happens about 16 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Espanyol
VS
Elche
Espanyol win
55%
Draw
29%
Elche win
16%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Expected shots
13 – 10
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 19:23 (UK time).