Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Celtic
VS
Beşiktaş
Celtic win
36%
Draw
23%
Beşiktaş win
41%
Expected goals
1.9 – 2.0
Expected shots
12 – 19
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Celtic and Beşiktaş finish within a few points of each other (36% vs 41%), with the draw at 23%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).