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Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Celta Vigo
VS
Union St. Gilloise
Celta Vigo win
21%
Draw
29%
Union St. Gilloise win
50%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.4
Expected shots
8 – 19

Match analysis

Union St. Gilloise comes out on top in most scenarios (50% win rate), but Celta Vigo finds a way in 21% of simulations. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).

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