La Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Final score: Celta Vigo 5 – 0 Racing Santander
The outcome rated most likely (a Celta Vigo win, 42%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Celta Vigo
VS
Racing Santander
Celta Vigo win
42%
Draw
33%
Racing Santander win
25%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Expected shots
18 – 10
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 16:53 (UK time).