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Brentford vs Chelsea prediction

Premier League · Friday, 18 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Brentford 3 – 0 Chelsea

The outcome rated most likely (a Brentford win, 51%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Brentford
VS
Chelsea
Brentford win
51%
Draw
27%
Chelsea win
22%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
17 – 18

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 September at 19:23 (UK time).

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