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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 – 4 FSV Mainz 05

The outcome rated most likely (a FSV Mainz 05 win, 61%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
18%
Draw
21%
FSV Mainz 05 win
61%
Expected goals
1.6 – 2.8
Expected shots
16 – 22

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 13:53 (UK time).

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