Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Bayer Leverkusen

VS

Marseille

Bayer Leverkusen win

87%

Draw

9%

Marseille win

4%

Match analysis

Bayer Leverkusen dominates this matchup: 86% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Marseille. Bayer Leverkusen frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 69% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).

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