Europa League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Juventus
AZ Alkmaar win
49%
Draw
26%
Juventus win
25%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.1
Expected shots
11 – 13
Match analysis
AZ Alkmaar holds a real edge (49% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:05 (UK time).