La Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Athletic Club
VS
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club win
32%
Draw
26%
Real Sociedad win
42%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
13 – 14
Match analysis
Real Sociedad holds a real edge (43% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:34 (UK time).