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Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)

Final score: Athletic Club 0 – 0 Alaves

The model gave a draw only 31%. At 31%, an outcome happens about 31 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Athletic Club
VS
Alaves
Athletic Club win
40%
Draw
31%
Alaves win
29%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.3
Expected shots
10 – 13

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 14:23 (UK time).

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