Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Atalanta
VS
Kairat Almaty
Atalanta win
82%
Draw
12%
Kairat Almaty win
6%
Expected goals
3.1 – 0.8
Expected shots
21 – 9
Match analysis
Atalanta dominates this matchup: 83% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for Kairat Almaty. Atalanta frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 65% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:04 (UK time).