Serie A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
AS Roma
VS
Sassuolo
AS Roma win
81%
Draw
13%
Sassuolo win
6%
Expected goals
2.9 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 8
Match analysis
AS Roma dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for Sassuolo. AS Roma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 62% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:23 (UK time).