Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Final score: AS Roma 2 – 2 Inter
The model gave a draw only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
AS Roma
VS
Inter
AS Roma win
49%
Draw
25%
Inter win
26%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.7
Expected shots
17 – 22
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 16:23 (UK time).