Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Final score: Angers 2 – 0 Estac Troyes
The outcome rated most likely (a Angers win, 53%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Angers
VS
Estac Troyes
Angers win
53%
Draw
26%
Estac Troyes win
21%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.3
Expected shots
15 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 18:53 (UK time).