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Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Villarreal
VS
Paris Saint Germain
Villarreal win
21%
Draw
18%
Paris Saint Germain win
61%
Expected goals
1.8 – 2.9
Expected shots
11 – 24

Match analysis

Paris Saint Germain comes out on top in most scenarios (61% win rate), but Villarreal finds a way in 21% of simulations. Paris Saint Germain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 49% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 04:04 (UK time).

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