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Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Manchester United
VS
AS Roma
Manchester United win
47%
Draw
26%
AS Roma win
27%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Expected shots
16 – 16

Match analysis

Manchester United holds a real edge (46% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 04:03 (UK time).

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