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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Shakhtar Donetsk
VS
Sporting CP
Shakhtar Donetsk win
31%
Draw
29%
Sporting CP win
40%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.3
Expected shots
12 – 13

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP finish within a few points of each other (31% vs 40%), with the draw at 29%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 04:03 (UK time).

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