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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)

Rayo Vallecano
VS
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano win
37%
Draw
31%
Celta Vigo win
32%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Expected shots
17 – 14

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 32%), with the draw at 31%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).

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