Bundesliga · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Bayer Leverkusen
VS
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen win
66%
Draw
18%
VfB Stuttgart win
16%
Expected goals
2.8 – 1.4
Expected shots
17 – 13
Match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen dominates this matchup: 66% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 16% for VfB Stuttgart. Bayer Leverkusen frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 52% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:33 (UK time).