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Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 12:30 (UK time)

Chelsea
VS
Manchester United
Chelsea win
54%
Draw
26%
Manchester United win
20%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.0
Expected shots
13 – 15

Match analysis

Chelsea comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Manchester United finds a way in 20% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:33 (UK time).

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