Serie A · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Bologna
VS
Monza
Bologna win
47%
Draw
25%
Monza win
28%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.3
Expected shots
15 – 11
Match analysis
Bologna holds a real edge (47% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:33 (UK time).