Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Manchester City
VS
Brighton
Manchester City win
48%
Draw
25%
Brighton win
27%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.3
Expected shots
16 – 14
Match analysis
Manchester City holds a real edge (48% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).