Ligue 1 · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Lorient
VS
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient win
53%
Draw
26%
Stade Brestois 29 win
21%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.9
Expected shots
12 – 13
Match analysis
Lorient comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Stade Brestois 29 finds a way in 21% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).