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Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Serie A · Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Genoa 2 – 0 Juventus

The model gave a Genoa win only 20%. At 20%, an outcome happens about 20 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Genoa
VS
Juventus
Genoa win
20%
Draw
27%
Juventus win
53%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.6
Expected shots
8 – 20

Match analysis

Juventus comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Genoa finds a way in 20% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 28 October at 19:03 (UK time).

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