Ligue 1 · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Estac Troyes
VS
Le Mans
Estac Troyes win
24%
Draw
25%
Le Mans win
51%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.8
Expected shots
14 – 12
Match analysis
Le Mans comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but Estac Troyes finds a way in 24% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).