Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Bournemouth
VS
Leeds
Bournemouth win
63%
Draw
21%
Leeds win
16%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.0
Expected shots
17 – 11
Match analysis
Bournemouth comes out on top in most scenarios (63% win rate), but Leeds finds a way in 16% of simulations. Bournemouth frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).