Bundesliga · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Bayern München
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München win
80%
Draw
13%
Borussia Dortmund win
7%
Expected goals
3.0 – 0.8
Expected shots
20 – 8
Match analysis
Bayern München dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for Borussia Dortmund. Bayern München frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 62% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).