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Barcelona vs Alaves prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Barcelona
VS
Alaves
Barcelona win
86%
Draw
9%
Alaves win
5%
Expected goals
3.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 6

Match analysis

Barcelona dominates this matchup: 86% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Alaves. Barcelona frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 68% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:35 (UK time).

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