Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Aston Villa
VS
Fulham
Aston Villa win
69%
Draw
20%
Fulham win
11%
Expected goals
2.2 – 0.8
Expected shots
19 – 10
Match analysis
Aston Villa dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Fulham. Aston Villa frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).