Serie A · Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
AC Milan
VS
Inter
AC Milan win
30%
Draw
24%
Inter win
46%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.9
Expected shots
7 – 22
Match analysis
Inter holds a real edge (47% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 03:34 (UK time).