Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Vendée Fontenay
VS
Clermont Foot
Vendée Fontenay win
33%
Draw
24%
Clermont Foot win
43%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.8
Expected shots
19 – 14
Match analysis
Clermont Foot holds a real edge (43% vs 33%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:54 (UK time).