Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Tefana
VS
Thionville Lusitanos
Tefana win
59%
Draw
25%
Thionville Lusitanos win
16%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.9
Expected shots
17 – 13
Match analysis
Tefana comes out on top in most scenarios (59% win rate), but Thionville Lusitanos finds a way in 17% of simulations. Tefana frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:54 (UK time).