Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Le Puy Foot
VS
Diables Noirs
Le Puy Foot win
47%
Draw
33%
Diables Noirs win
20%
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.7
Expected shots
10 – 11
Match analysis
Le Puy Foot holds a real edge (47% vs 20%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 52% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:54 (UK time).