Ligue 1 · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Toulouse
VS
Strasbourg
Toulouse win
42%
Draw
26%
Strasbourg win
32%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.4
Expected shots
12 – 17
Match analysis
Toulouse holds a real edge (42% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 30 October at 00:23 (UK time).