Ligue 2 · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Montpellier
VS
Metz
Montpellier win
60%
Draw
23%
Metz win
17%
Expected goals
1.9 – 0.9
Expected shots
17 – 11
Match analysis
Montpellier comes out on top in most scenarios (59% win rate), but Metz finds a way in 17% of simulations. Montpellier frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 30 October at 00:22 (UK time).