Ligue 2 · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
PAU
VS
Nantes
PAU win
58%
Draw
24%
Nantes win
18%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.0
Expected shots
13 – 15
Match analysis
PAU comes out on top in most scenarios (58% win rate), but Nantes finds a way in 18% of simulations. PAU frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 30 October at 00:22 (UK time).