Bundesliga · Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (UK time)
SV Elversberg
VS
FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg win
19%
Draw
19%
FSV Mainz 05 win
62%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.5
Expected shots
13 – 17
Match analysis
FSV Mainz 05 comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but SV Elversberg finds a way in 19% of simulations. FSV Mainz 05 frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 05:03 (UK time).