Ligue 1 · Friday, 30 October 2026 at 18:00 (UK time)
Le Havre
VS
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre win
13%
Draw
20%
Paris Saint Germain win
67%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.3
Expected shots
8 – 25
Match analysis
Paris Saint Germain dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for Le Havre. Paris Saint Germain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 05:03 (UK time).