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Metz vs PAU prediction

Ligue 2 · Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)

Metz
VS
PAU
Metz win
43%
Draw
25%
PAU win
32%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 15

Match analysis

Metz holds a real edge (42% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 05:03 (UK time).

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