Coupe de France · Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (UK time)
St Sebastien
VS
La Baule-Le Pouliguen
St Sebastien win
53%
Draw
25%
La Baule-Le Pouliguen win
22%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Expected shots
17 – 17
Match analysis
St Sebastien comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but La Baule-Le Pouliguen finds a way in 22% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:55 (UK time).