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Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

La Liga · Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Sevilla 2 – 0 Osasuna

The outcome rated most likely (a Sevilla win, 39%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Sevilla
VS
Osasuna
Sevilla win
39%
Draw
28%
Osasuna win
33%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Expected shots
16 – 11

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Sevilla and Osasuna finish within a few points of each other (39% vs 33%), with the draw at 28%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 26 October at 19:03 (UK time).

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