Ligue 2 · Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Final score: Boulogne 1 – 1 Reims
The model gave a draw only 28%. At 28%, an outcome happens about 28 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Boulogne
VS
Reims
Boulogne win
20%
Draw
28%
Reims win
52%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.5
Expected shots
8 – 16
Match analysis
Reims comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Boulogne finds a way in 20% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 26 October at 19:03 (UK time).