Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction
Final score: Paris Saint Germain 2 – 0 Lyon
The outcome rated most likely (a Paris Saint Germain win, 72%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Paris Saint GermainVS
LyonParis Saint Germain win
72%
Draw
18%
Lyon win
10%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 6
Match analysis
Paris Saint Germain dominates this matchup: 72% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Lyon. Paris Saint Germain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 53% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 26 October at 18:33 (UK time).
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