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Sevilla vs Alaves prediction

La Liga · Friday, 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Sevilla
VS
Alaves
Sevilla win
37%
Draw
31%
Alaves win
32%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.0
Expected shots
14 – 14

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Sevilla and Alaves finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 32%), with the draw at 31%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 30 October at 00:23 (UK time).

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